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10 latest posts

2019-08-23 - The Mixed Economic Data Presents A Challenge For..
Thursday's release of the Conference Board's Leading Economic Indicators Index (LEI) shows an increase in the LEI for July of .5%. This reverses the declines in May and June. Importantly, and as..

2019-08-18 - Compensation Growth Supporting Strong Retail Sales..
The market lost ground for the third consecutive week last week, down 2.93%. In spite of the recent weakness, equities continue to show respectable returns this year with the S&P 500 Index up..

2019-08-18 - The Yield Curve Dominates The Narrative
On Wednesday the financial media would have one believe the world and market's would fall apart as a result of the 2-year/10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve inverting, i.e., the 2-year yield moved to a..

2019-08-11 - Improvement In Forward Earnings Expectations..
Just as the market encountered an earnings recession in 2015/2016 due in part to the after effects of higher oil prices and a stronger US Dollar, current earnings reports show S&P 500 earnings..

2019-08-08 - Investor Sentiment Has Reached An Extreme And Not..
AAII is reporting individual investor bullish sentiment declined a sizable 16.8 percentage points to 21.7% in the week ending 8/7/2019. This is the lowest level since bullish sentiment reached 20.9%..

2019-08-03 - High Consumer Confidence But Not Too Bullish Of An..
Earlier this week I wrote that on balance economic and company data seemed to be more positive than negative. Also noted in that post was the fact the services segment of the economy has become a..

2019-07-30 - Economic And Company Data More Positive, But..
One area of the economy in both the U.S. and abroad that has garnered heightened attention of late is the manufacturing sector. Based on business surveys it is clear trade and tariff issues are having..

2019-07-26 - Low Bullish Investor Sentiment And Equity Fund/ETF..
In the most recent report on investor sentiment by the American Association of Individual Investors, individual investors continue to express a low level of bullish sentiment. As the sentiment..

2019-07-20 - Buybacks Down In First Quarter 2019, But Remain..
Late last month S&P Dow Jones Indices reported preliminary dividend and buyback results for the S&P 500 Index for first quarter of 2019. On a quarter over quarter basis dividends declined by..

2019-07-19 - Summer 2019 Investor Letter: A Rate Cut Seems Near
The headwind created by the trade and tariff issues formed a heightened level of uncertainty facing the economy and the market; however, the stock market, yet again, scaled the proverbial "wall of..

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